Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2019 - , University of Essex

Assessing changing patterns of resilience in Hounslow and London

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Day:Wed 3 Jul
  • Nicola Bacon, Social Life

Understanding resilience is critical to understanding how communities manage and respond to changes at a local level, and how councils can best intervene and support local neighbourhoods. This is particularly relevant in the context of scarce public sector spending, increasing inequality and where population growth, churn and policy change risk fragmenting communities and undermining their ability to cope. This paper describes Social Life’s work with Hounslow Council to develop and test a model for assessing resilience in local neighbourhoods, setting out the findings and the approach taken to analyse and map resilience to small areas. To quantify resilience, we developed six typologies, or “resilience clusters”, describing key aspects of resilience, based on detailed factor and cluster analysis of the Understanding Society Survey. The results were matched to Output Area Classifications, enabling us to predict what the likely level of resilience is in a specific local area. These “resilience clusters” were then mapped for 2009 and 2015 to create a predictive model for each year. This allows us to observe changes in the way resilience is represented across Hounslow, and London. These results can then be tested this against actual data about the place – this enabled us to form a layered picture of Hounslow. This tool is designed to support a better understanding of local areas and their community dynamics, and to support conversations, spending decisions and service planning in order to best support local communities.